Contents
Foreword
Preface
Chapter 1: Why Bricks Matter
Implications
Building the Right Bricks
A Look at History
Supply Chain Pioneers: The Tipping Points
Meet the Pioneers
Why It Matters
Supply Chain Process Evolution
Who Does Supply Chain Best?
Meet the Supply Chain Leaders
Procter & Gamble: The Quiet Leader
Apple and Dell: Inventing New Models
Summary
Notes
Chapter 2: Building Value Networks
The Journey from Cost to Value
Aligning for Success
Building of Value Networks
Building Value Networks
Why Are Value Networks So Hard to Build?
A Close-up: Taking a Closer Look at a Value Network within the Consumer Value Chain
Value Chain Case Studies
Success in Creating Value in Value Networks
Mistakes in Building Value Chain Networks
Risk Management
Shift to Value-based Outcomes
Summary
Notes
Chapter 3: The New World of Demand Management: Demand Sensing, Shaping, and Translation
What Is Demand Management?
Learning a New Language to Build Market-Driven Demand Management Processes
What Is Market-Driven Demand Management?
What Is Demand Sensing?
What Is Demand Shaping?
Achieving Market-Driven Capabilities
Why Is Becoming Market Driven Important for Industrial Companies?
Driving the Market-Driven Demand Management Advantage
Social: A New Form of Demand Signal
How Can a Company Improve Demand Management?
Summary
Notes
Chapter 4: Supply Management Evolution
Current State
Supply Chain Matters
Procurement of Raw Materials
Manufacturing: The Making of Products
Transforming Manufacturing
Logistics
Summary
Notes
Chapter 5: Building Horizontal Connectors
The Building of Horizontal Supply Chain Processes
Revenue Management
Sales and Operations Planning
Supplier Development
Summary
Notes
Chapter 6: Supply Chain 2020
Leading the Journey to Drive Market-Driven Value Networks
Building a Guiding Coalition
Running the Race
Making the Right Investments
Supply Chain 2020
Demand Orchestration
Big Data Supply Chains
Winning the Race
Notes
About the Authors
Index
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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data:
Cecere, Lora M.
Bricks matter : the role of supply chains in building market-driven differentiation / Lora M. Cecere, Charles W. Chase.
pages cm. — (Wiley & SAS business series)
Includes index.
ISBN 978-1-118-21831-0 (cloth); ISBN 978-1-118-28272-4 (ebk.); ISBN 978-1-118-28294-6 (ebk.); ISBN 978-1-118-28472-8 (ebk.)
1. Business logistics. I. Chase, Charles W. II. Title.
HD38.5.C343 2012
658.7—dc23
2012037486
This book is dedicated to first-generation supply chain pioneers.
Foreword
Historically, successful companies were typically known for their marketing expertise or technological innovation. Today, great companies are also defined by supply chain excellence. Throughout my 40 years at Procter & Gamble (P&G), I watched the concept of a well-run supply chain evolve from one that was barely on anyone’s radar screen to one that is front and center as part of any company’s business strategy.
The fact that supply chain management is now an academic discipline further changes the game. PhDs enter the market with strong business backgrounds; they bring a new and an important focus to topics such as data synchronization, information systems, and demand shaping—the horizontal structures within a supply chain organization.
While it is gratifying to see this evolution, part of the challenge is integrating this data-driven approach with an appreciation for what, in my opinion, makes a great supply chain organization great: a foundation of functional excellence. The vertical supply chain functions—manufacturing, logistics, engineering, procurement, and quality—are what allow a company to leverage the capabilities that information can provide. A company’s synchronization and information systems may be the best in the world, but without outstanding execution and support, systems alone cannot deliver.
The companies that view both elements as essential—cutting-edge systems and strong functional organizations—are the companies that knit the horizontal and vertical together in ways that truly add value to the business.
The second challenge I see is one that is critical to every business: leadership. Just as any company is always tweaking its marketing or innovation strategies to better anticipate and respond to marketplace dynamics, its supply chain strategies need to evolve as well. It is the supply chain leader’s job to recognize how things are changing, where they are going, and when it is time to tear down and rebuild.
While we like to think that our people on the ground are best positioned to identify what is not working or what could work better, in my experience that is not how it happens. Organizations, by nature, generate inertia; there is always a tremendous investment in the status quo. The supply chain leader must be the one to take on transformation—the organization simply won’t go there on its own.
I served as P&G’s global product supply officer from 2001 through 2011. One example of rethinking our organization resulted in the creation of centralized purchasing spend pools; another was the consolidation of P&G’s planning function within the supply chain organization. In both cases, each of our business units was managing these activities in its own way. The redesign led to increased scale and flexibility, greater focus, and stronger supply chain capabilities.
Another critical and closely related element of supply chain leadership is perspective: supply chain excellence is about continual improvement. To be clear, we sometimes innovate with big ideas that have immediate impact; however, that is rarely the case. Supply chain organizations are large and complex; they require persistent, day-in and day-out focus. The core work of creating a world-class supply chain is a journey.
I would also like to say a few words about culture, and the power that comes from building an entire organization focused on excellence. A strong supply chain culture starts with communication—making sure that people understand the business need and how their roles within the supply chain support and drive the business. It requires leaders who see themselves as coaches—leaders who explicitly model what “good” looks like and show up as being there to help solve problems.
A strong supply chain culture is about cultivating people with a healthy dissatisfaction, people who believe that what is good enough—or even great—today isn’t good enough for tomorrow. When you develop a critical mass of people who take ownership for their results, that is when magic happens. When everyone is pulling in the same direction, people transcend their functional boxes because they are aligned to a bigger idea—a larger vision of success.
I am proud to have been a part of Procter & Gamble’s supply chain journey—a journey outlined here. This is the right place to start. I know from experience that it works.
I wish each of you success on your quest for a world-class supply chain. As you progress, remember that it is a journey, not a sprint. It requires leadership, tenacity, a deep understanding of the fundamentals, and a commitment to be in it for the long haul.
R. Keith Harrison
Retired Global Product Supply Officer Procter & Gamble
Preface
We firmly believe that bricks matter. Behind every shipment, there is an order. It is satisfied by a manufacturing and a logistics process. The customer’s expectation is that the order will be perfect. Getting it right requires the alignment of the organization from the customer’s customer to the supplier’s supplier. It sounds easier than it is.
Supply chain management is three decades old. It is still evolving. While the term supply chain was used in logistics and warfare for decades prior, 2012 is the 30th anniversary of the use of the term supply chain in commercial manufacturing.
Over the three decades, the processes have changed greatly. Technology has been a major driver. Connectivity, business analytics, and e-commerce increased the pace of fulfillment and the customers’ expectations. While clicks (the world of the Internet) are sexier than bricks (the world of fulfillment), companies cannot move forward without effective and efficient operations.
Like the annealing of steel, the processes were challenged and refined by many forces. This included the evolution of global markets and increasing business complexity. Many companies failed first before they could go forward. The greatest moves forward came not from success, but from failure. Material event after material event created a boardroom understanding of why bricks matter. This book is a synopsis of this journey.
For manufacturers, retailers, and distributors, the supply chain is business. The book is a compilation of stories, quotes, and anecdotes. The stories are rich. In telling them, we tried to make it anything but mundane. To understand the evolution, we interviewed 75 supply chain pioneers, and analyzed 25 years of financial data. We wanted to understand why the supply chain matters today, and how companies need to prepare for the next decade. The book is dedicated to the first-generation supply chain pioneers that cobbled together those first processes.
The book also predicts the future, giving advice to supply chain teams on the evolution of processes for 2020. To run the race for Supply Chain 2020, these teams have to have the right stuff. They must have the right balance between flexibility and strength, they have to be balanced in their approach between go-to-market strategies and fulfillment activities, and they need a clear understanding of supply chain strategy. This requires a multiyear road map and a cross-functional understanding.
It also requires an understanding of the future of technologies. The road before us will be quite different from the road that got us here. The world of big data, the Internet of Things, new forms of predictive analytics, and the evolution of digital manufacturing offer great promise. The adoption of new technologies is part of winning the race for Supply Chain 2020.
When we submitted the abstract of this book to many publishers, to celebrate this 30-year journey of supply chain management, we were told that it was “boring.” Publisher after publisher turned us down. However, we persevered. We think it is an important story. It is the progression of the manufacturing age of business, the underpinning of the middle-class economy, and the essential component of many new business models.
Writing this book took six months. It would not have happened without a team of people. We would like to thank Regina Denman, Michael Hambrick, Heather Hart, Marie LeCour, Abby Mayer, and Jill Smith for their patience and help. Without this team, the book would not have happened.
We had to learn supply chain practices. We then had to unlearn them as technologies evolved, and then relearn them based on new capabilities.
—First-Generation Supply Chain Pioneer
The story is old. When generations come and go, at the end, the bricks remain. They last through the ages. They are a symbol of prosperity, solidity, and strength. Found in many forms, they give a culture countenance. This book is a variation on this old theme. In the end, bricks matter.
The foundation of business is built on bricks. Manufacturing plants, warehouses, and sales operations centers are built to deliver on a brand promise. Each is run by people. Collectively, their effectiveness can make or break a company’s ability to fulfill customer promises. To drive success, these processes need to be synchronized. They need to be carefully architected and adapted to meet strategy. The design has changed over time as business complexity increased.
In business, while there are fads, true value is built through continuous improvement of processes to deliver real products to real people along with market differentiating services to build brands. To make year-over-year progress, companies learn—although, sometimes the hard way—that the ability to successfully deliver on the brand promise requires proficiency in supply chain management.
I found Rome a city of bricks and left it a city of marble.
—Augustus
The term supply chain is not new. It is fundamental to military strategy. It was the difference between winning and losing in the Napoleonic wars and the Battle of the Bulge in World War II. The application of supply chain practices as a fundamental business process is newer. First coined in 1982 to be used as an overarching business concept, it is now 30 years old. Over the last three decades, it has morphed in definition.1
No two companies today define it the same, nor will they agree on what good looks like. The definitions are as varied as ice cream flavors in a local shop.
The goal of this book is to share the insights of what has been learned over the course of these 30 years. In this book, we do not debate the ideal supply chain or the flavor of the month. Instead, we give insights on the evolution of the processes, share the stories of success and failure, and prognosticate on the future of tomorrow’s supply chains.
To help the reader not familiar with supply chain vernacular, here we start with a definition. For the purposes of this book, we define the term supply chain as “the process of organizational alignment to effectively manage the flows of cash, product, and information from the customer’s customer to the supplier’s supplier.”
Success depends on both vertical processes (within a function) to drive operational excellence and horizontal processes (across functions) to ensure alignment within the organization. Excellence happens when there is orchestration of the trade-offs to the business strategy.
Supply chains make good companies great; however, ensuring this happens is easier said than done. As shown in Figure 1.1, each company has an effective frontier: a unique set of trade-offs to manage to improve business outcomes.
Figure 1.1 The Supply Chain Effective Frontier
Over the last 30 years, supply chains have become more complex with implications for cost, working capital, social responsibility, and product quality. These interactions involve thousands of trading partners in interconnected and ever-changing relationships that stretch around the globe. Excellence is defined through trade-offs on the effective frontier.
The challenges are many. Time and clock speed pressures are high. Cultural differences are a hindrance. Data latency is a problem. The impacts on economic growth are far-reaching. It is a complex system with complex processes with increasing business complexity. This management is intricate. There is not one supply chain. Companies find that they have five to seven unique supply chains to be managed simultaneously. These systems need to be knitted together into business process outcomes.
Although it is easy to understand the increasing business process complexity, the key to supply chain success is a true understanding of the supply chain as a system, and learning how to make the right choices on business complexity to drive true lasting value. Today, there are 3,500 companies greater than $1 billion in revenue working on improving the supply chain response. There is no company that feels that it has it nailed. There are no best practices. Instead, the processes are evolving.
Core to the business strategy is agreement on how to make trade-offs. Strong decision-making capabilities delivered through a horizontal process characterize supply chain leaders. Governance and well-defined decision-making processes are essential. A good supply chain translates to good business.
Once I was asked to shut down a manufacturing facility. I had worked with the people in the factory for many years. As we rolled out the lay-off packages and talked about why we needed to relocate the factory, no one liked it; but everyone understood it. I was okay until we leveled the building, and I sat on the rubble of the bricks that once was a vibrant entity of people making real things day after day. It was then that I cried. I was all alone sitting on the bricks remembering what had been.
—Director of Supply Chain Management, Chemical Industry
Most companies understand that supply chains have complex processes. They also know all too well that the underlying processes are growing more complex. They live it every day. However, what most companies fail to realize is that supply chains are complex systems with finite trade-offs. These choices happen up and down the supply chain. Leaders make them consciously while laggards make them by default. They are both horizontal (cross-functional) and vertical (within a function). They are also intra-enterprise (within the company) and inter-enterprise (external to the company within a trading network).
Each supply chain has a unique potential. As shown in Figure 1.1, the business choices are intrinsically linked at multiple levels.
The approach needs to be holistic. Some typical trade-offs include:
For each supply chain, the impact is different. There are no hard-and-fast rules. The trade-offs of customer service, forecast accuracy, and inventory are the easiest to understand. Through continuous improvement programs, employee training, investments in technology, and alignment of metrics, the core of the supply chain can be improved.
In setting targets for the supply chain, leaders use advanced modeling tools to understand their specific supply chain potential. Modeling helps organizations see the impacts of business changes through what-if analysis. This analysis allows companies to set realistic and holistic metric targets. Leaders use the same metrics but different targets for each supply chain team. The determination of supply chain potential cannot be accomplished through spreadsheets. As a result, companies working on improving supply chain capabilities need to invest in business analytics for supply chain modeling. Without this modeling, the goals are unclear. They cannot be rolled up horizontally across the organization or vertically from region to global.
There is no magic wand or easy button. Companies cannot wish things to happen; instead, leadership happens through hard work. It is about building the organizational muscle to raise this effective frontier. It requires strength, balance, and flexibility. Results happen over many years. Progress is not linear. Supply chain leaders set targets consciously and align metrics systematically with a focus on balance. Supply chain laggards let their supply chain whip them around.
Time is money. If we could take one day of transit time out of the supply chain, we could free up $1 billion in cash. Unfortunately, we cannot.
—Chief Financial Officer, European Operations, High-tech and Electronics Manufacturer
Implications matter. The business impact of the evolution of supply chain practices is far-reaching. To support the evolution, an entire ecosystem of software, consulting, and hardware companies dedicated to improving supply chain processes evolved.
The use of these technologies enabled growth in global markets, accelerated new product introductions, and drove more-informed decision making within the company. As computing power grew and connectivity increased, process and technology innovation accelerated. Although progress has been made, this journey is far from over. Today, there is a plethora of solutions for cloud-based computing, big data supply chains, mobility, and advanced analytics for learning systems. The greatest concentrations of solution providers building technologies for supply chain management are in Germany, India, and the United States.
To improve the processes, and to conquer new opportunities, corporate spending has been significant. Over the past 20 years, manufacturing organizations have spent 1.7 percent of revenue on new forms of information technology (IT) to improve visibility, accelerate decision making, and drive insights. This spending has had a profound economic impact on the gross domestic product (GDP) of nations and on the business results of manufacturing companies.
I remember the early days of supply chain management, when we typed our own letters, mailed them in paper envelopes, and went to our office for a conference call. Today, we communicate globally in real-time anywhere. E-mail has replaced inter-office mail and our handheld devices define where we will have our next conference call. So much has changed.
—First-Generation Supply Chain Pioneer
Not all supply chains are created equally, and not all industries perform at the same level. High-tech, chemical, and consumer products supply chains are the most mature. The industries of automotive, pharmaceutical, and retail lag the rest.
There is an inverse relationship between margin and supply chain excellence. When margins were tight, supply chains got better. The combination of product life cycle changes, commodity margin pressures, and product proliferation put pressure on organizations to improve the processes quickly. Throughout this book, you will see that manufacturers with the tightest margins defined wave after wave of supply chain process excellence.
In today’s world, clicks are sexier than bricks. There is a fascination with online presence. Social and e-commerce news grabs headlines while the traditional manufacturing processes are largely taken for granted. Delivery through the supply chain is assumed. Supply chain processes are not sexy. The pioneers did not earn the seven-digit salaries of the Wall Street financial executives. However, the supply chain was and still is the silent enabler behind great companies, world economies, and successful communities. It created viable brands and defined world economies.
The bricks of the supply chain are analogous to the children’s story The Three Little Pigs. When a supply chain is done right, it makes companies stronger to withstand the storms and volatility of the global economy. When it is done wrong, companies fold against the winds of market changes. The best supply chains are built with a clear understanding that bricks matter.
Supply chains made hastily will fail. They are unequal to the test of demand volatility. They cannot meet the challenges of global risk management or the pressure to produce new products quickly to enter a new market. It is only when the supply chain is made of the right bricks that it can maximize opportunity and weather market-to-market volatility.
The bricks pave the evolution of supply chain processes. In the 30-year evolution, as shown in Figure 1.2, three types of bricks mattered: the right use of assets or buildings; expansion into Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRIC countries) and the knowledge to build supply chain processes.
Figure 1.2 Bricks Matter
The effective use of assets starts with supply chain design. In the early days of supply chain management, manufacturing and distribution processes were insourced. Companies owned their bricks and mortar, and products were made and sold within the same region. Today’s supply chain is largely outsourced. Manufacturing and distribution centers are operated by third parties and the flow of goods and services use many modes of transportation to cross multiple international borders to enter global markets.
Most companies inherited their supply chains. The active design of supply chain networks is relatively new. In the first 20 years, the placement of factories, the design of distribution centers, and the selection of suppliers were not critical. Today, the design is paramount.
As global trade barriers tumbled, the design of the supply chain needed to be more flexible. It needed to flex on many dimensions to take advantage of the lower costs of labor, to build the capability to enter new markets, or to drive the opportunities for tax incentives and rebates. As a result, today’s companies focus on more frequent network design and the building of processes to support manufacturing and logistics outsourcing. Planning becomes more important.
Despite the increased outsourcing and growing complexity of production and distribution processes, companies quickly learn that while they may outsource the bricks of their supply chain, they cannot outsource the responsibility. Many companies have learned this lesson the hard way through failure.
As a result, they have stumbled forward. As companies have outsourced the supply chain, they have had to build inter-enterprise processes to ensure that they are able to achieve better levels of quality, customer service, and corporate social responsibility through their network as they did when all functions reported through their organization. As a result, the focus of the supply chain has become outside-in. Today, it is focused on not just building chains but also on the design of agile networks.
As companies outsource, they quickly learn that relationships matter. The nodes of the network are only as effective as the trading partner relationship. As a result, the sharing of information and the alignment of incentives increase in importance. This is the mortar between the bricks.
To effectively use assets, supply chain leaders have found that they cannot be insular. They have found that they must tear down the bricks between the silos of their own internal organizations to stretch across networks to build lasting supply chain processes. The walls of these functional silos are difficult to break down, but they must be dislodged to build the end-to-end supply chain. For, it is now not just a company’s bricks, but the responsibility for all the assets of the extended network that is paramount.
Through the last decade, the largest contribution of the supply chain team was driving growth in emerging economies. These teams powered growth in the emerging countries of Brazil, Russia, India, and China. They fought the corruption of Russia, battled the compliance barriers of Brazil, and embraced the sheer enormity of China and India. These were greenfield start-ups (built from the ground up).
From our supplier’s supplier to our customer’s customer, our supply chain in Brazil is 200 days long. When we started, we projected capacity for five years. Due to exceptional growth, we found that we exceeded our usable capacity within one year. We were in trouble. To build a new plant in Brazil takes two years. The application process is tough. We have to get approval from three of the 13 ministries within Brazil before we can start the process. As a result, we built capacity in China and ship the product to Brazil to satisfy the burgeoning needs.
—Second-Generation Pioneer, Chemical Industry
The biggest hurdle was human. Within these geographies there was little to no understanding of supply chain processes. Factories had to be built, and teams had to be hired and trained. Companies forged new partnerships and adapted to new forms of logistics infrastructure. Each country had a unique story and set of obstacles. Coca-Cola’s failure in India spurred progress on social responsibility while Wrigley’s success in China redefined processes with distributors. It is one of the reasons that McDonald’s succeeded in India while Kentucky Fried Chicken failed. Success in emerging markets gave InBev the funds to purchase Anheuser-Busch.
Globalization is a process of the past, present, and future. The work is not done. It is still a challenge, and of growing importance for companies to drive growth.
The last brick is knowledge. It is building the right supply chain processes. While the definition of supply chain excellence has changed over the last 30 years, leaders have progressed through stages as shown in Figure 1.3. There are five phases: the efficient, the reliable, the resilient, the agile, and the aligned supply chain. For most, the agile and the aligned supply chain are aspirational. (The agile supply chain is often termed demand driven and the aligned supply chain is termed market driven.)
Figure 1.3 The Evolution of Supply Chain Process Excellence
While companies attempted to implement best practices over the last 30 years, they are now grappling with the fact that many Y2K projects built an efficient supply chain without resiliency. These investments made the supply chain strong, but not agile. Today, most companies have processes that can respond, but cannot adapt. They are too rigid. They cannot sense and adapt to market shifts. This is the basis of the drive to create market-driven value networks.
No two supply chains are alike. They come in many forms and definitions. While companies may argue on the definition of a supply chain, no one in manufacturing and distribution organizations will disagree that it matters. Over the last 30 years, it has become clear that supply chain practices both build and destroy brands. While failure can have a quick and deleterious impact, success can be seen only over many, many years. Although the stories of the losers fill headlines, the untold story is the one of quiet leaders using supply chain processes over the course of many years to improve corporate viability.
This book shares insights from these stories. To write this book, we interviewed 75 supply chain leaders from a variety of industries. These pioneers charted the path. They worked in apparel, automotive, chemical, consumer products, and high-tech and electronics industries. To better understand the evolution of supply chain management, we asked them three questions:
During the last six months of 2011, we captured their experiences to understand the evolution. Here, we tell their stories.
In the interviews, when we asked the pioneers about the major tipping points of supply chain management, there was no quick answer. They struggled to answer the question. There were so many changes that happened concurrently that it was hard for them to cite just one. In the discussions, they acknowledged that the changes were fast and furious. The major tipping points happened simultaneously in the forms of technology, globalization, and changes in transportation. In the interviews, it was hard for the pioneers to separate them; but when pressured, collectively they outlined the major tipping points as shown in Figure 1.4.
Figure 1.4 Major Tipping Points for Supply Chain Management Processes
When the pioneers recount their stories, they all agree that in the beginning, the emphasis was on manufacturing efficiency. The most efficient supply chain was believed to be the most effective supply chain. Supply chain practices evolved primarily to make manufacturing even more efficient.
When the practices started, there were islands of automation. No pioneer could have imagined the world today where data is anytime and anywhere.
In the early years, the personal computer was a rarity. The early processes were paper-based. The phone was stationary. Intercompany communication was completed by letter or telex. As computing power became a reality, it spawned a series of focused applications for the factory, transforming business-to-business interactions and improving the speed of data.
In this period, process innovation flourished. The major tipping points for the period of 1987 to 1999 are shown in Figure 1.5. The concept of just-in-time (JIT) manufacturing to manage the flow of inbound materials with suppliers reduced waste and improved the speed of receipt. The application of optimization techniques to improve factory scheduling using the theory of constraints (TOC) improved asset utilization and reduced manufacturing changeover times. Both were major steps forward. In this period, the first vestiges of a supply chain organization appeared in the form of a few specialists reporting to the leaders of manufacturing. In these early days, manufacturing centers operated as islands of isolated data.
Figure 1.5 Supply Chain Tipping Points 1987–1999
As companies focused on year 2000 process readiness, the rate of technology change accelerated within organizations. What started as a simple initiative—to be sure that the computer systems could handle a time designation change with Y2K—became the focus of large-scale process transformation efforts. This period laid the foundation for the modern supply chain. While the prior period automated the factory, this coordinated effort focused on improving order-to-cash and procure-to-pay processes. Strong processes were built within the functions of source, make, and deliver to support the growing complexity of serving multinational supply chains.
The Internet along with Y2K was the perfect accelerant. The two forces intertwined to reshape and transform both business-to-consumer and business-to-business relationships. The most profound effect was in retail. As shown in Table 1.1, the Internet sparked a new channel that outpaced the growth in traditional store formats. While the uninformed might conclude that the growth of e-commerce made bricks obsolete, in reality, the opposite was true. Successful companies transformed their traditional supply chains to meet the new requirements of this growth channel. It required new bricks, new processes, and a business transformation.
Table 1.1 Growth of the E-commerce Retailer as a Business Model
In this period, interest in business-to-business trading exchanges skyrocketed; however, growth in these ventures fell short of expectations. While business-to-consumer business models flourished, business-to-business models were overhyped and often under-delivered.
In many ways, it was a new gold rush. The promise was high, but the underlying technologies were too immature to make it a reality. As a result, none of the industry analyst firms correctly predicted the future. In 2000, Gartner Group predicted that 7,500 to 10,000 trading exchanges would evolve by 2002. Similarly, Jupiter Research forecasted that the technology spending in business-to-business marketplaces would increase from $2 billion in 2000 to $81 billion in 2005. In reality, less than 2 percent of the trading exchanges provided value to the extended supply chain over the course of the next decade. They were not a major factor in the evolution of supply chain processes.
The race for global expansion also spurred supply chain spending. Companies felt since they were forced to spend on Y2K that they might as well get more value for the investment by improving their global processes. Not all companies moved at the same pace, but the impact of the rollout of new technologies coupled with the global expansion was staggering. Armies of people worked on system implementations. Many companies today are still digesting the technology investments from this period of time.
It was a boom-and-bust cycle. In this period, talent shortages in information technology coupled with large IT investments for year 2000 readiness raised the stature of the chief information officer (CIO). Multimillion-dollar investments in IT infrastructure were made based on a handshake, and hundreds of consultants were trained to implement new technologies to improve supply chain management. Good talent was hard to find. As a result, many process compromises were made.
Growth in new markets was the rallying cry. To satisfy the demand following this period, supply chains processes were challenged to transition from regional, multinational organizations to a more global footprint. Focused on global growth serving multiple channels, teams were defined in-country to serve new customers. Employees were relocated to be in-country to build processes, teams, and infrastructure.
Connectivity was a strong enabler. With the growth of the Internet, friction was taken out of the supply chain. New processes evolved to better serve business-to-consumer (B2C) and business-to-business (B2B) relationships. In this period, millions of dollars were spent on B2B connectivity, enterprise resource planning (ERP), and e-commerce initiatives. Most were hastily implemented. These tipping points are shown in Figure 1.6.
Figure 1.6 Supply Chain Tipping Points 2000–2012
While the primary impetus for global supply chains was the penetration of new markets, the second thrust to be global was driven by the lower cost of labor. For laggards, it was a pure labor arbitrage strategy.
To take advantage of the lower cost of labor, companies redesigned their supply chains and transformed the supporting logistics systems. Supply chains became longer. Air shipments, cross-border transport, and improvements in labeling were enablers. As supply chain planning grew in importance, it spurred the development of multiparty supply chain visibility systems.
In the last five years, escalating costs, material scarcity, and global warming concerns have further redefined supply chain practices. Because of the increasing volatility of demand and supply, the focus has been on the development of processes and on the organizations that can adapt to change. The new goal is greater agility to flex with market changes and business directives. This new era has also demonstrated the need to define the socially responsible supply chain.
No real impact can be made in a supply chain in less than three years. It takes time.
—Marty Kisliuk, Director of Global Operations and Business Development, FMC Corporation Agricultural Products Group